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厄爾尼諾現(xiàn)象將會持續(xù)影響2016年氣候形勢


ANALYSIS - A twoyear El Nio event has bad a strong influence on world weather, according to Art Douglas, PhD, Professor Emeritus at Creighton University, who recently presented the annual weather forecast at the National Cattlemen's Beef Association (NCBA) meeting, where he projected moisture conditions in the US to continue through the summer.Last summer, drought in India, Mexico and the Caribbean were attributed to El Nio and in the past two months, drought in Brazil has been tied to this strong event.Data from the tropical Pacific and NOAA models all suggest that 2014-2016 has now entered its decline phase, but ocean temperatures should remain at El Nio levels through at least late spring 2016.【厄爾尼諾現(xiàn)象將會持續(xù)影響2016年氣候形勢】

據(jù)克雷頓大學名譽教授阿特道格拉斯(Art Douglas)博士所說,為期兩年的厄爾尼諾現(xiàn)象對世界天氣有很強的負面影響 。他最近在美國牛肉協(xié)會(NVBA)會議提出年度天氣預料 , 在會議上他預料美國整個夏天處于濕度狀態(tài) 。去年夏天印度(India)、墨西哥(Mexico)和加勒比海(Caribbean)為期兩個月的干旱都是因為厄爾尼諾現(xiàn)象,巴西的干旱也離不開厄爾尼諾 。來自美國國家海洋和大氣局和熱帶太平洋的數(shù)據(jù)模型顯示厄爾尼諾現(xiàn)象在2014年-2016年已經(jīng)陷入衰減期,但是受厄爾尼諾影響的海洋溫度應該會保持到2016年春季末期 。

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